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Corey Brewer has cleared waivers and we've got ourselves a new Mavs toy. While we figure out who, if anyone, he supplants (not just DeShawn, but maybe starters Peja or Roddy B), I also want to know who he stops. Manu? Durant? Kobe? Let's workshop this ...
What's The Corey Story? Thursday Mavs Donuts
What's The Corey Story? Can He Guard Kobe, Manu, KD? Thursday Morning Mavs Donuts
DallasBasketball.com
http://mavericks.scout.com/2/1052773.html
DallasBasketball.com
Mar 3, 2011

What's The Corey Story? Thursday Mavs Donuts

What's The Corey Story? Thursday Mavs Donuts

Corey Brewer has cleared waivers and we've got ourselves a new Mavs toy. While we figure out who, if anyone, he supplants (not just DeShawn, but maybe starters Peja or Roddy B), I also want to know who he stops. Manu? Durant? Kobe? Let's workshop this ...



DONUT 1: Let's get some numbers-crunching done here. Using the great help of Jeff at RotowireATC ... Can Corey stop Kobe? Is there a history of that?

Corey Brewer has faced the Lakers 8 times in his career. Dallas Mavericks

Kobe Bryant did not play in one of those games.

Brewer is 0-7 against the Lakers with Kobe and 0-8 for his career.

Brewer started 3 of those seven games.

Overall head to head the numbers are as follows.

Averages

Kobe

Brewer

MPG

33.5

21.1

FG%

40.1

36.7

FT%

87.7

71.4

3P%

32.4

10.0

REB

5.4

2.6

AST

5.6

1.6

STL

2.4

1.9

BLK

0.29

0.57

TO

3.9

1.7

PF

1.7

2.6

PTS

25.3

6.7

Now this chart is Kobe's numbers when Brewer starts vs. Brewer as a reserve

Averages

Brewer as a Starter

Brewer as a Reserve

MPG

34.1

33.4

FG%

40.4

40.6

FT%

93.5

82.4

3P%

26.7

36.3

REB

4.6

6.0

AST

7.6

4.0

STL

2.0

2.75

BLK

0.33

0.25

TO

3.33

4.25

PF

2.0

1.5

PTS

23.7

26.5



Well, not much definitive there. Kobe's career scoring average is 25.2 a game. The difference when Brewer starts against him is a lone FG.

Let's stay at this ...

DONUT 2: Corey Brewer has faced the Spurs 12 times in his career.

Manu Ginobili has played in 11 of those games.

Brewer is 0-12 against the Spurs.

Brewer started 7 of those games.

Ginobili has started 7 of those games.

Overall head to head the numbers are as follows

Averages

Manu

Brewer

MPG

30.5

23.5

FG%

53.3

35.7

FT%

88.7

66.7

3P%

50.0

35.7

REB

4.4

3.1

AST

4.9

1.0

STL

2.1

1.5

BLK

0.36

0.09

TO

2.6

0.91

PF

1.7

2.6

PTS

21.2

7.5

Now this chart is Manu's numbers when Brewer starts vs. Brewer as a reserve

Averages

Brewer as a Starter

Brewer as a Reserve

MPG

29.8

31.2

FG%

53.5

53.1

FT%

91.7

86.8

3P%

48.2

51.2

REB

5.3

3.2

AST

5.7

4.0

STL

2.0

2.2

BLK

0.33

0.4

TO

2.3

3.0

PF

2.0

1.4

PTS

18.7

24.2




OK, maybe we're making some hay here. Acknowledging that "head-to-head'' isn't always head-to-head ... Ginobili is above his career average (15.3) when playing Minnesota. However he does score six points less when Brewer starts. It seems more significant than with the Kobe numbers we have ... Can we attribute some of that to Brewer?

DONUT 3: How about KD?

Corey Brewer has faced the Sonics/Thunder 13 times in his career.

Kevin Durant has played in all 13 of those games.

Brewer is 2-11 against the Sonics/Thunder.

Brewer started 10 of those games.

Overall head to head the numbers are as follows

Averages

Durant

Brewer

MPG

37.8

29.2

FG%

46.0

47.8

FT%

93.9

73.5

3P%

41.9

48.0

REB

7.2

3.7

AST

2.6

2.9

STL

1.1

2.1

BLK

1.2

0.31

TO

3.2

1.5

PF

2.0

3.3

PTS

26.2

12.9

Now this chart is Durant's numbers when Brewer starts Vs Brewer as a reserve

Averages

Brewer as a Starter

Brewer as a Reserve

MPG

37.6

38.3

FG%

46.2

44.9

FT%

94.1

93.1

3P%

44.1

33.3

REB

7.7

5.3

AST

2.2

4.0

STL

1.3

0.33

BLK

1.2

1.3

TO

3.30

3.0

PF

2.0

2.0

PTS

26.70

24.67



Dang it, I can't find a statistical edge for Brewer in there vs. KD.



DONUT 4: So what have we learned before we march forward? There might be some evidence of Corey succeeding against Manu ... and heck, if Brewer is getting a three-year deal worth a couple of mil a year, and all he does is slow down Manu over the course of a seven-game series this spring?

Worth every penny.

DONUT 5: OK, having gotten ahead of ourselves ("Brewer Leads Mavs To Series Win Vs. Spurs!!'') ... back to the first question that invades the minds of most is: How does he fit? Where do the minutes come from?




DONUT 6: Assuming the deal is completed as expected ... a few assumptions we may be able to embrace.

To begin, while we love this signing for the Mavs, a deal that forfeits nothing while gaining a 24-year-old (turning 25 this Saturday, March 5) defensive specialist with room to grow; there may be reason to temper some of our expectations. With only 22 games left in the season, time is short for a player to learn, understand and succeed in his role within the constructs of a team thriving prior to their arrival.

This isn't to say Brewer cannot make an immediate impact, or that he can't become a contributor by the time the playoffs arrive, only that the adjustment isn't without its hurdles.

But it's a new toy. ... for us and for Rick ... to be excited about.


DONUT 7: Despite being buried beneath an avalanche of irrelevance in Minnesota, Brewer has managed to earn (and keep) a reputation as an elite perimeter defender. Moved from the confines of a team forced to place more than the ideal level of reliance on his limited offensive game and without the circumstances to lean on his strengths as a defender, to a Dallas team with the means to utilize him along the lines of his defensive skills may deliver an environment ripe for him to flourish.

Brewer won't replace the offense of Caron Butler (on Friday, we'll study Caron vs. Peja; stay tuned!) but as noted above, no matter the stats, he is instantly the Mavs player most capable of defending the Kobes, Manus and Durants of the league. He's Shawn Marion 1A. (Or maybe Marion is Corey 1A?) This isn't a slight on what DeShawn Stevenson has brought to the table, only recognition for the tools Brewer brings.


DONUT 8: In comparison to DeShawn ... he's athletic and capable of high-flying dunks. Ask Derek Fisher about that.






Additioally, he's skilled at staying in front of gifted attackers, and houses the "disposition" (a Carlisle pet-word) to excel as a lockdown defender. And, with youth and what should be an affordable contract, he brings the blessing of a low risk, high-reward proposition.


DONUT 9: Carlisle has shown both the propensity to hang youth by a rope of its own mistakes (see Roddy Beaubois), and grant quick minutes to new acquisitions (see Peja Stojakovic). Considering the team's recent success, winners of 17 of their last 18 games, there is no need to rush Brewer onto the court. Yet, with only 22 games left in the season, if the hope is to add a weapon ready to be utilized in this year's playoffs, minutes must come quickly.


Odds would profess that we'll find something in the middle, likely driven by nightly matchups. With the precedence set of a clear desire to keep the bench tandem of Jason Terry and Shawn Marion intact, again, how does he fit? Where do the minutes come from?


Front and center, this would seem to push DeShawn Stevenson, particularly as he continues to struggle to regain his early season shooting form, further down and possibly out of the rotation. Brewer isn't a threat to replace that outside efficiency, but he is capable of matching the defensive impact while bringing a higher level of athleticism and quickness, along with a greater proficiency for defending the small forward position.


While this shift had begun to pull previously, it could also leave Brian Cardinal with extremely precise situational demands for minutes to be available, as Marion would no longer be the sole Mav capable of delivering high-level perimeter defense and may be freed to devote more time at power forward, delivering the possible benefit of shaving a minute or two from Dirk Nowitzki's totals here and there.


If this signing occurs, dependant on Brewer clearing waivers, Dallas will also have 13 healthy bodies, something that hasn't happened since Dominique Jones' season-ending injury, thus demanding that one player be left off the active roster for each game. The most obvious choices would be one of the players mentioned above, Stevenson or Cardinal, depending on the matchup.


With his ability to contribute at shooting guard, this may also serve to further shorten the leash around Roddy Beaubois' acceptable margin of error, as another option will be added to the positional mix. If handled correctly, this won't be an issue. However, it could also serve to slow Roddy B's development, providing another obstacle for him to overcome as he returns from his extended absence and tries to earn minutes in time to be a significant playoff contributor.


Finally, Peja could see his minutes more directly connected to the matchups. When offense is needed, Peja is the obvious choice. However, in instances where the importance of defense is raised, Brewer would seem the logical option. The affect on Peja could also prove to be less severe by allowing Carlisle to compliment the two with each other, much as Marion's defense and Dirk's offense do.

Again, more on the Peja-related aspects of this in Friday's Donuts.


DONUT 10: The options are many, as are the ramifications. Minutes are available, and are likely to come from the time of more than a single player. What was already a deep team, would find that depth stretching further down the bench. Even if Brewer were limited with his immediate impact, he would likely still shove the 10 through 12 spots in the rotation a step further down.

Is this ever a bad thing? At worst, it's another in a plethora of options. As we've pointed out on the Mavs telecasts on FS Southwest a few times, it may make Carlisle's job a little tougher, and open a few more avenues for criticism from those who will disagree with his handling of minutes, but these are good problems to have.

Oh, and make sure to save a spot on your mental mantle for the ability of Dallas management to give themselves this chance. Mark Cuban and Donnie Nelson have continuously stated the their willingness to be "opportunistic." When their top targets for this summer's mid-level exception found homes elsewhere, they didn't sign a player just to appease the casual fan, or make a move for nothing more than the sake of making a move. This prudence gave them the upper hand as contenders lined up in hopes of signing Brewer.

Whether the move works out in the long run or not, yesterday's forethought, or the gift of happenstance (if you want to view it pessimistically), delivered the chance for today's success. ... and Cuban's oft-stated "opportunism'' came true here.

DONUT 11: TrueHoop's glowing assessment of Corey?

" ... a defensive show. Once you clue in to the guy, it's glaringly obvious that no one on the court is defending like him. He's narrow, long, strong, quick and feisty — which is a perfect set of attributes to fight over a screen. He has great hands. He goads non-shooters into shooting, and keeps great shooters from making a catch. He talks constantly on defense — he's not only in the right place, but he knows where everybody else is supposed to be, too.''

Smile

DONUT 12: Of course, not even "glaringly obvious'' is "glaringly obvious'' to everyone. John Hollinger follows up his own positive assessment with a tweet referencing a conversation he had with an NBA scout who offered a two-word evaluation of Brewer:

"He sucks.''

Well, how does one argue with THAT in-depth report? Around here, 12 Donuts and beyond, we'll continue to try ... We'll see you again this afternoon following practice ... and throughout the day get more Mavs insights on Twitter from FishSports, Kevin Brolan and Michael Dugat!



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